← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.87+3.15vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University3.43-0.24vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University0.58+4.86vs Predicted
-
4Florida State University0.50+4.14vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-0.55+6.40vs Predicted
-
6Washington College0.80+1.28vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University0.85-0.06vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina0.50-0.01vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina0.47-0.63vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina-0.77+2.19vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-0.10-0.75vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69+2.62vs Predicted
-
13Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-4.60vs Predicted
-
14University of Georgia-0.63-2.06vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook1.41-9.63vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech-1.79-1.13vs Predicted
-
17University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.15Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
-
1.76Jacksonville University3.430.5%1st Place
-
7.86Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
8.14Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
-
11.4Syracuse University-0.550.0%1st Place
-
7.28Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
6.94North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
-
7.99University of South Carolina0.500.0%1st Place
-
8.37University of South Carolina0.470.0%1st Place
-
12.19University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
-
10.25William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
-
14.62University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.4Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
-
11.94University of Georgia-0.630.0%1st Place
-
5.37SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
-
14.87Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hidley | 11.9% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 54.6% | 26.5% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Niall Shannon | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% |
| William Sunkler | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 3.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Myers | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Chaplin | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 22.6% | 35.9% |
| Maggie Royal | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Cahalan | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 4.8% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.0% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 22.2% | 38.9% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.