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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+0.69vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.50+5.77vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.87+1.06vs Predicted
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4Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+4.08vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.47+2.11vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.58+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+2.95vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.10+0.97vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.50-2.23vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook1.41-5.78vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-1.79+2.61vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.02-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.09-0.94vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.55-3.73vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.77-3.96vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Jacksonville University3.430.6%1st Place
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7.77Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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4.06Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.08Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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6.81Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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8.11University of South Carolina0.470.0%1st Place
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7.59Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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9.97William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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7.77University of South Carolina0.500.0%1st Place
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5.22SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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14.61Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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9.56North Carolina State University0.020.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.27Syracuse University-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.04University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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14.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 56.6% | 26.0% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 10.2% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Sunkler | 3.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chaplin | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Alex Myers | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 36.5% |
| Carly Pedron | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 13.1% |
| Niall Shannon | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 7.1% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.