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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+0.70vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.50+5.81vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.47+4.97vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+2.89vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina0.50+2.73vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+5.27vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.58+0.60vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-0.11vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.87-4.87vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.55+1.28vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook1.41-5.74vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.770.00vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.02-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.09-1.00vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-0.65vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.10-6.12vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech-1.79-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Jacksonville University3.430.6%1st Place
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7.81Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.97University of South Carolina0.470.0%1st Place
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6.89Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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7.73University of South Carolina0.500.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.6Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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7.89Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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4.13Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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11.28Syracuse University-0.550.0%1st Place
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5.26SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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12.0University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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9.57North Carolina State University0.020.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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14.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
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9.88William and Mary-0.100.0%1st Place
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14.68Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 57.2% | 25.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Chaplin | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| William Sunkler | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Myers | 2.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 3.7% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hidley | 9.8% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.7% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 5.9% |
| Carly Pedron | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 12.8% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 33.3% |
| Patrick Firth | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 20.4% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.