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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+0.65vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.58+5.32vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.87+0.95vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.55+7.06vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.77+6.60vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.47+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina0.50+0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+2.66vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.80-2.20vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook1.41-5.06vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.09+1.77vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.50-4.35vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology0.45-5.10vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-0.35-3.49vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.81-3.16vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech-1.79-1.48vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.65Jacksonville University3.430.6%1st Place
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7.32Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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3.95Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
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11.06Syracuse University-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.6University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
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7.94University of South Carolina0.470.0%1st Place
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7.64University of South Carolina0.500.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.8Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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4.94SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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12.77University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.65Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
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7.9Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
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10.51North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.84William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.52Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
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14.25University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 58.3% | 24.9% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 10.4% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Shannon | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Christopher Chaplin | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Myers | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| William Sunkler | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.8% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 12.5% |
| Rafael Melendez | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Royal | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Victoria Newberry | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 35.1% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 21.5% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.