← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University3.43+0.69vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University1.87+1.93vs Predicted
-
3Washington College0.80+3.71vs Predicted
-
4Georgia Institute of Technology0.45+3.80vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Stony Brook1.41-0.06vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+4.97vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University0.58+0.36vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.50-0.52vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina0.50-1.28vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary-0.81+1.80vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University-0.35-0.53vs Predicted
-
12University of South Carolina0.47-4.29vs Predicted
-
13Syracuse University-0.55-1.93vs Predicted
-
14University of Georgia-1.09-1.17vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina-0.77-3.31vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech-1.79-1.46vs Predicted
-
17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.69-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.69Jacksonville University3.430.6%1st Place
-
3.93Jacksonville University1.870.1%1st Place
-
6.71Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.8Georgia Institute of Technology0.450.0%1st Place
-
4.94SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
-
10.97University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
-
7.36Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
7.48Florida State University0.500.0%1st Place
-
7.72University of South Carolina0.500.0%1st Place
-
11.8William and Mary-0.810.0%1st Place
-
10.47North Carolina State University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
7.71University of South Carolina0.470.0%1st Place
-
11.07Syracuse University-0.550.0%1st Place
-
12.83University of Georgia-1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.69University of North Carolina-0.770.0%1st Place
-
14.54Virginia Tech-1.790.0%1st Place
-
14.3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 57.4% | 25.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hidley | 10.9% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Royal | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.0% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rafael Melendez | 4.2% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Alex Myers | 2.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nina Willms | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Victoria Newberry | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Chaplin | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Niall Shannon | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Weisel | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.3% |
| Ann Burns Morrison | 0.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| Natalie Lovelace | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 19.7% | 34.5% |
| Taylor Wood | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.