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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+2.07vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.33+1.40vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.36+2.76vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.65+0.80vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+6.85vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72+1.61vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.18+2.43vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.75+4.48vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.37-3.42vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23-0.59vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-1.64+4.09vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-0.05-1.52vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.43vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.31-3.13vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.87-2.12vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.14-2.19vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University0.02-6.88vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-1.58-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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3.4Jacksonville University2.330.2%1st Place
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5.76University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
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4.8Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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11.85SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.61Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.43Georgia Institute of Technology0.180.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Maryland-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.58Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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9.41Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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15.09University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.48North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
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9.57University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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10.87University of South Carolina-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.88William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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13.81University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.140.0%1st Place
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10.12Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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14.8University of North Carolina-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 26.2% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 20.1% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Price | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Dorsey | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 5.8% |
| Mitchell Powell | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 18.3% | 33.2% |
| Jacqueline Welles | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Drain | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Bradley Lewis | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 14.3% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Shep Byles | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 18.0% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.