← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.33+2.20vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.37+3.48vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.53-0.10vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+7.49vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech1.65-0.27vs Predicted
-
6Washington College0.23+3.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+2.39vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University-0.05+1.71vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University0.72-1.49vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary-0.87+2.36vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology0.18-1.79vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina-1.58+2.30vs Predicted
-
13University of South Carolina1.36-7.40vs Predicted
-
14University of South Carolina-0.31-3.14vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.14-1.86vs Predicted
-
16University of Georgia-1.54-1.74vs Predicted
-
17Syracuse University0.02-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2Jacksonville University2.330.2%1st Place
-
5.48Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
-
2.9Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
-
11.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
4.73Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
9.13Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.39University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
-
9.71North Carolina State University-0.050.0%1st Place
-
7.51Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
12.36William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.21Georgia Institute of Technology0.180.0%1st Place
-
14.3University of North Carolina-1.580.0%1st Place
-
5.6University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
-
10.86University of South Carolina-0.310.0%1st Place
-
13.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.140.0%1st Place
-
14.26University of Georgia-1.540.0%1st Place
-
9.74Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Guaragna | 23.6% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 27.7% | 23.7% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Price | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Jacqueline Welles | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.0% |
| Rachael Price | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Shep Byles | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 32.7% |
| Jack Gonzales | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Drain | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Bradley Lewis | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 15.5% |
| Benjamin Tonks | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 30.5% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.