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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.33+2.06vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.53+0.82vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.37+2.29vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.23+4.98vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina0.34+3.55vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.49+2.04vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72+0.38vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.18+0.87vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.36-3.61vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-1.08+2.87vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.14+1.84vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.74vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.31-3.50vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-0.49-3.74vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University0.02-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Jacksonville University2.330.3%1st Place
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2.82Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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5.29Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.98Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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8.55University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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8.04William and Mary0.490.0%1st Place
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7.38Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.87Georgia Institute of Technology0.180.0%1st Place
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5.39University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
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12.87North Carolina State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.140.0%1st Place
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9.26University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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11.29SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.5University of South Carolina-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.26University of Georgia-0.490.0%1st Place
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9.61Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Guaragna | 26.2% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gower | 29.0% | 24.2% | 18.1% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Thompson Betts | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Emma Purinton | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachael Price | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Jack Gonzales | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Holde | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 20.8% | 27.6% |
| Bradley Lewis | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 31.5% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Kyle Drain | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
| Alex Sullivan | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 10.1% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.