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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+1.75vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.33+1.15vs Predicted
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3Florida State University1.37+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.34+4.60vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72+2.25vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology0.18+3.03vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.23+1.91vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.31+2.50vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.49-1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-0.49+1.24vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina1.36-5.62vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University-1.08+0.81vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.78vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-2.77vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.14-1.93vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University0.02-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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3.15Jacksonville University2.330.3%1st Place
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5.32Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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8.6University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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7.25Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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9.03Georgia Institute of Technology0.180.0%1st Place
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8.91Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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10.5University of South Carolina-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.91William and Mary0.490.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Georgia-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.38University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
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12.81North Carolina State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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11.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.07University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.140.0%1st Place
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9.62Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 29.9% | 24.4% | 18.4% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 25.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thompson Betts | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Price | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Drain | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% |
| Emma Purinton | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Alex Sullivan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holde | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 16.8% | 30.3% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Bradley Lewis | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 18.2% | 31.6% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.