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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.53+1.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.33+1.13vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.49+4.83vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina1.36+1.39vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.37+0.25vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72+1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+2.10vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.23+0.56vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University-1.15+3.60vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.34-1.68vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+0.05vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.18-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Georgia-1.64+0.77vs Predicted
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14University of South Carolina-0.31-3.76vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.14-2.24vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University0.02-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
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3.13Jacksonville University2.330.3%1st Place
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7.83William and Mary0.490.0%1st Place
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5.39University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
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5.25Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
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7.17Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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8.56Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
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12.6North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
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8.32University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
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11.05SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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8.76Georgia Institute of Technology0.180.0%1st Place
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13.77University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.24University of South Carolina-0.310.0%1st Place
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12.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.140.0%1st Place
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9.38Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 31.5% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 25.7% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Purinton | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Jack Gonzales | 7.4% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Vernon | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 19.9% |
| Thompson Betts | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.0% |
| Rachael Price | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 41.2% |
| Kyle Drain | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Bradley Lewis | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 23.0% | 20.1% |
| Henry Sanders | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.