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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.19vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+6.46vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.31+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.82+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.36+0.04vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+1.28vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.40+4.11vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.68-0.81vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.86-2.68vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.74+2.09vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-2.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.00+1.05vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University0.14-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.56-2.80vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California-0.12-4.90vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.60-1.20vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.83vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Southern California1.7118.4%1st Place
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8.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.834.2%1st Place
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5.07University of Hawaii1.3114.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Santa Cruz0.825.9%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.3613.0%1st Place
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7.28California Poly Maritime Academy0.536.5%1st Place
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11.11Arizona State University-0.402.2%1st Place
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7.19Northwestern University0.686.2%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Berkeley0.869.7%1st Place
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12.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.741.4%1st Place
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8.61San Diego State University0.535.5%1st Place
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13.05University of California at Davis-1.001.8%1st Place
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8.78Texas A&M University0.143.8%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Berkeley-0.562.4%1st Place
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10.1University of Southern California-0.123.1%1st Place
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14.8Arizona State University-1.600.6%1st Place
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14.17University of California at San Diego-1.130.7%1st Place
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15.62University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Fineman | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jason Yang | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Cole Broberg | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Erin Welker | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 25.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 17.5% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.