← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.53+1.71vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.33+1.10vs Predicted
-
3University of South Carolina1.36+2.26vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University0.72+3.25vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary0.49+2.86vs Predicted
-
6Washington College0.23+2.72vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-1.15+5.71vs Predicted
-
8University of Georgia-1.64+5.68vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology0.18-0.27vs Predicted
-
10University of South Carolina-0.31+0.38vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.00vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina0.34-3.70vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.96vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.14-1.46vs Predicted
-
15Syracuse University0.02-5.58vs Predicted
-
16Florida State University1.37-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71Jacksonville University2.530.3%1st Place
-
3.1Jacksonville University2.330.3%1st Place
-
5.26University of South Carolina1.360.1%1st Place
-
7.25Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
-
7.86William and Mary0.490.0%1st Place
-
8.72Washington College0.230.0%1st Place
-
12.71North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
13.68University of Georgia-1.640.0%1st Place
-
8.73Georgia Institute of Technology0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.38University of South Carolina-0.310.0%1st Place
-
11.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.3University of North Carolina0.340.0%1st Place
-
9.04University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
-
12.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.140.0%1st Place
-
9.42Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
-
5.3Florida State University1.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Gower | 31.1% | 24.5% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andre Guaragna | 25.5% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Gonzales | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Purinton | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Vernon | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Adam Augustine | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 22.4% |
| Timothy DeWitt | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 41.1% |
| Rachael Price | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Drain | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| Thompson Betts | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Lewis | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| Henry Sanders | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Mitchell Powell | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.