Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Colin Richards 4.6% 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 5.6% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 10.8% 10.8% 15.1% 15.8%
Liam Ballantyne 3.0% 3.7% 4.5% 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 5.8% 6.5% 10.2% 13.0% 14.4% 20.9%
Drake Lyon 10.3% 8.1% 9.3% 9.9% 9.7% 8.6% 10.0% 9.4% 8.3% 7.6% 5.4% 3.4%
Sam Shannon 7.7% 8.7% 10.4% 8.3% 8.6% 9.2% 10.1% 10.2% 7.2% 7.4% 7.4% 4.8%
Alex Moreno 7.2% 9.6% 9.0% 6.7% 8.7% 7.7% 8.7% 9.0% 9.0% 9.6% 7.4% 7.4%
Julia Lambert 12.3% 9.5% 10.2% 10.7% 10.2% 9.3% 9.1% 8.9% 7.9% 4.5% 5.2% 2.2%
Annie Hughes 9.8% 10.3% 9.9% 9.5% 9.2% 9.0% 9.2% 8.7% 8.0% 7.7% 5.8% 2.9%
Christopher Pearson 4.3% 5.2% 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 6.2% 5.7% 7.8% 7.4% 10.2% 13.3% 26.6%
Alp Rodopman 12.1% 15.0% 12.1% 12.9% 10.0% 8.7% 6.9% 8.7% 5.5% 4.0% 3.2% 0.9%
Sophie Hibben 13.6% 12.1% 12.2% 10.1% 10.4% 9.4% 9.4% 6.5% 6.0% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6%
Mary Paz 6.6% 7.2% 6.1% 7.5% 8.8% 8.8% 9.1% 8.6% 9.4% 10.1% 10.8% 7.0%
Lucy Wilmot 8.5% 6.1% 6.9% 9.0% 7.9% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 10.3% 9.8% 8.6% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.