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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+5.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+2.98vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+4.63vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51+1.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+1.43vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.74-2.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-4.01vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.44-3.40vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.63-4.90vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.94vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.42Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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6.57Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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5.7Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.99Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.6Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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6.1Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 11.9% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 24.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 23.3% |
| Drake Lyon | 10.2% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Sophie Hibben | 15.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Mary Paz | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Colin Richards | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.