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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+4.96vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.63+4.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.05+4.89vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.90+1.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04+0.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.07vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-1.52vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.78-0.56vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.44-3.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.71vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.02-6.81vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.51-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.19Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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5.45Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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6.57Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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5.19Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Colin Richards | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 16.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Alp Rodopman | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 25.6% |
| Mary Paz | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 20.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.