Race 4A

bu-trophy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Annie Hughes 9.2% 9.2% 8.1% 9.3% 11.3% 8.6% 9.6% 8.6% 7.0% 8.2% 7.1% 3.8%
Drake Lyon 8.5% 11.5% 9.9% 9.1% 8.5% 10.5% 8.8% 7.8% 9.0% 6.6% 6.4% 3.4%
Mary Paz 7.8% 5.9% 7.6% 8.2% 7.4% 8.3% 7.7% 9.0% 11.4% 11.1% 8.8% 6.8%
Lucy Wilmot 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 8.1% 8.5% 7.5% 9.9% 9.4% 10.0% 8.2% 7.9% 7.4%
Colin Richards 3.9% 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 8.2% 8.1% 10.8% 14.7% 15.7%
Alex Moreno 8.9% 6.8% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 8.7% 10.5% 9.0% 9.4% 8.7% 8.9% 6.4%
Sam Shannon 8.9% 9.4% 9.6% 8.9% 9.1% 9.0% 8.6% 7.4% 9.6% 8.6% 6.3% 4.6%
Christopher Pearson 4.5% 4.8% 4.4% 4.5% 4.8% 5.6% 6.4% 7.0% 8.4% 10.3% 15.4% 23.9%
Julia Lambert 10.9% 11.5% 13.4% 10.4% 10.5% 10.0% 7.1% 8.7% 6.9% 5.5% 3.2% 1.9%
Alp Rodopman 13.4% 11.7% 11.6% 11.9% 10.3% 9.4% 8.8% 8.8% 4.2% 5.2% 2.8% 1.9%
Liam Ballantyne 4.3% 2.8% 3.9% 4.9% 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 10.0% 11.3% 15.1% 23.1%
Sophie Hibben 13.3% 13.1% 10.0% 10.3% 10.2% 9.5% 8.8% 8.8% 6.0% 5.5% 3.4% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.