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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+4.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+5.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.05+2.89vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.44+0.75vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51-0.45vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-1.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.04-4.05vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.02-5.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-2.70vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.74-6.02vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.63-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.75Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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4.91Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.24Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 23.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Colin Richards | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.5% |
| Mary Paz | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% |
| Alp Rodopman | 14.0% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 21.5% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.