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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lucy Wilmot 7.1% 8.0% 7.3% 7.6% 8.6% 8.7% 9.7% 8.5% 9.8% 9.3% 8.8% 6.6%
Drake Lyon 9.0% 10.6% 9.7% 10.7% 9.4% 8.6% 9.3% 9.5% 7.6% 7.0% 6.1% 2.5%
Sam Shannon 9.3% 7.6% 8.8% 8.1% 10.0% 9.2% 8.7% 11.1% 8.7% 8.1% 5.8% 4.6%
Alp Rodopman 12.3% 13.6% 12.4% 10.2% 9.5% 11.9% 8.1% 6.2% 5.0% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5%
Mary Paz 6.7% 8.1% 7.5% 7.1% 8.1% 9.0% 8.5% 8.4% 8.2% 10.0% 11.1% 7.3%
Colin Richards 5.1% 4.7% 5.7% 5.5% 6.3% 5.9% 5.8% 9.8% 9.6% 10.6% 14.6% 16.4%
Sophie Hibben 12.6% 14.0% 11.9% 10.8% 11.1% 8.6% 9.2% 6.1% 6.6% 4.1% 3.1% 1.9%
Alex Moreno 9.7% 8.1% 7.3% 7.9% 8.4% 8.8% 9.1% 7.9% 8.1% 8.4% 9.4% 6.9%
Liam Ballantyne 3.1% 3.9% 4.3% 5.7% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 8.0% 9.6% 12.0% 13.1% 20.3%
Julia Lambert 11.6% 10.6% 12.3% 10.0% 9.1% 9.2% 10.6% 8.0% 6.7% 6.5% 3.3% 2.1%
Christopher Pearson 3.6% 3.1% 2.7% 6.5% 4.2% 4.7% 6.2% 6.4% 10.9% 9.7% 14.9% 27.1%
Annie Hughes 9.9% 7.7% 10.1% 9.9% 9.0% 9.1% 7.4% 10.1% 9.2% 8.6% 6.2% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.