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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+5.64vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+3.77vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+3.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04+1.02vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.44+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.05+1.89vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-2.03vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-1.56vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-1.74vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-5.65vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.78-3.28vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.16Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.02Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.79Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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4.97Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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5.35Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Drake Lyon | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Alp Rodopman | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Mary Paz | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Colin Richards | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Alex Moreno | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 20.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 27.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.