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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+3.95vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.19+3.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.47+1.94vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.56+3.59vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.80vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.60+1.52vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-0.67vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.21-2.38vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-1.09vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.61-2.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.85vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.73-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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4.94Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston University1.560.1%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.62Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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7.91Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.3Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Craig | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 13.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| John Wetzel | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% |
| Catherine Price | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 17.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.