← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Benjamin Craig 9.9% 9.3% 9.9% 8.7% 11.6% 9.4% 8.3% 8.6% 7.4% 6.4% 7.3% 3.2%
Greta Farrell 9.3% 10.3% 11.8% 9.2% 10.5% 8.5% 8.4% 7.8% 8.6% 7.4% 5.8% 2.4%
Jennifer Killian 5.5% 4.8% 3.5% 6.7% 4.9% 5.6% 7.0% 8.2% 8.0% 12.4% 11.9% 21.5%
Zachary Jordan 6.0% 5.7% 6.9% 8.3% 6.8% 9.7% 8.1% 9.3% 8.6% 9.6% 10.7% 10.3%
Matthew Schryver 7.4% 8.5% 8.1% 9.3% 8.3% 8.8% 8.5% 8.6% 8.9% 8.4% 8.9% 6.3%
Catherine Price 9.7% 11.8% 9.8% 8.6% 9.1% 9.9% 9.0% 9.6% 8.2% 6.2% 5.2% 2.9%
John Wetzel 6.6% 5.1% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 7.6% 6.9% 7.4% 9.1% 11.5% 11.0% 14.3%
Scott Rasmussen 15.4% 13.9% 11.1% 9.7% 9.5% 8.2% 9.2% 7.7% 6.5% 3.9% 2.6% 2.3%
Nestor Cano Sostre 4.8% 5.6% 6.5% 8.6% 7.2% 7.6% 8.9% 8.2% 8.8% 11.8% 11.3% 10.7%
Catherine Kerner 6.0% 6.1% 6.9% 5.7% 7.9% 7.1% 6.2% 9.3% 11.4% 8.7% 11.1% 13.6%
Caelan Juckniess 5.5% 6.8% 6.8% 6.4% 7.8% 8.9% 8.8% 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 11.3% 11.4%
Julien Guiot 13.9% 12.1% 12.4% 11.9% 9.1% 8.7% 10.7% 7.1% 6.2% 3.9% 2.9% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.