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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.19+4.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.71vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+5.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94+1.46vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.21-1.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.56-0.58vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.47-4.08vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.60-2.71vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.61-3.63vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.81vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.48-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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5.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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8.1Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.92Boston College2.470.2%1st Place
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7.29Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Craig | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 21.5% |
| Zachary Jordan | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Catherine Price | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| John Wetzel | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 14.3% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.