← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.86vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.21+3.67vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.47+1.93vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.73+3.12vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.48-0.06vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.19-1.25vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.39-0.14vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University1.61-1.68vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.17vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.94-4.61vs Predicted
-
12Boston University1.55-4.24vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University1.60-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
-
5.67Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
-
4.93Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.12Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.94Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
-
5.75University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
-
7.86Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
-
7.32Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
-
6.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
-
6.39University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
-
7.76Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
-
7.55Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Catherine Price | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 14.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Jordan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Julien Guiot | 12.6% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 19.1% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.