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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.81vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+4.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+1.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+3.13vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.21-0.29vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.47-2.09vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.19-2.34vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-1.06vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.55-2.56vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.61-3.71vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.60-4.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.71Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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4.91Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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7.94Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.44Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.62Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Jordan | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% |
| Catherine Price | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Craig | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.9% |
| Skye Shepherd | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.3% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.