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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.47+4.04vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+2.91vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.21+2.72vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.19+1.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.61+2.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.56-0.55vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.73-2.03vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.94-3.62vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-2.82vs Predicted
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12Stanford University1.60-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.72Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston University1.560.1%1st Place
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6.97Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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8.18Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.53Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Rasmussen | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.3% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Catherine Price | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Craig | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Catherine Kerner | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 13.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| John Wetzel | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Zachary Jordan | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 19.6% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.