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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+3.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.73+4.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.94+2.50vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+3.03vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.21-0.28vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.60+0.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.61-0.68vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.14vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.19-5.25vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.56-4.25vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.47-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.14Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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8.03Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.72Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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7.26Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Vermont2.190.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston University1.560.1%1st Place
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4.96Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Zachary Jordan | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| Matthew Schryver | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 20.5% |
| Catherine Price | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% |
| Benjamin Craig | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% |
| John Wetzel | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.