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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+6.55vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+6.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+6.53vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.77vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.24+6.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+2.03vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.53vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+0.91vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.92-1.58vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.50+2.88vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-4.15vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.47-3.26vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.09-6.52vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.23vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.42-9.68vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-7.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.9Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.53Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.06University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.91George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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14.88Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% |
| Amina Brown | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Maeve White | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 42.0% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| Paris Henken | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.