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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+6.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+7.31vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.87vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.52vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+5.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.43vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.57vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-0.54vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.62vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-0.85vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.47-0.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.48vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50+0.38vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-6.17vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-5.27vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.92-7.61vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.31University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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8.87Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.46College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.38Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.39Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Paris Henken | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 38.4% |
| Emma White | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Maeve White | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.