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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+5.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.91vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+4.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.63vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.47+5.15vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+1.50vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+1.14vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.45vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-0.42vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24+1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-6.10vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.51vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-7.09vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-6.12vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-1.30vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.85vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.58-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.63Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.14Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.16University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.49U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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6.91Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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14.7Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.47George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Amina Brown | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% |
| Paris Henken | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Maeve White | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 37.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.