← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.05+7.88vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.96+7.28vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.38+4.51vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.92+5.07vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.09+3.47vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.35+1.41vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.42vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.47+3.05vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.40vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.07vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.91-1.61vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.24+0.42vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.99-4.21vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy2.33-2.64vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.75-5.11vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University2.58-5.25vs Predicted
-
17Boston University3.42-9.70vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.50-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.88Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
-
7.51Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.07Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.47College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.41Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
11.05Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
-
10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.39Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
12.42University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.79Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
11.36U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
-
9.89Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
10.75George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
7.3Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
14.53Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Amina Brown | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Maeve White | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Paris Henken | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.9% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 15.3% |
| Emma White | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.