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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+9.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+6.20vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.09vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+5.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.68vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96+0.94vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33+1.92vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.13vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.47-0.55vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-5.81vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-8.62vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-0.41vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-6.65vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.92-7.66vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.2Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.46George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.68Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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10.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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11.45Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.19Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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14.59Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.34Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.86University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma White | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Paris Henken | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Amina Brown | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.3% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 38.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Maeve White | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.