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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.93vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+7.18vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+4.96vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+2.09vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.84-2.49vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-0.55vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.50+4.82vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.92-1.64vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-2.92vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-5.76vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.24-2.32vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-5.15vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-5.28vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.47-5.72vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.33-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.18Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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10.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.45College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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14.82Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.36Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.68University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.72George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Emma White | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Amina Brown | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.2% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 42.2% |
| Maeve White | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.