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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.88vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.47vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+4.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.57vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.47+5.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+1.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+0.91vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.92-0.48vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-1.81vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-1.02vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-6.02vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-5.37vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-7.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.23vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.24-4.84vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.4College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.16Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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10.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.91Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.52Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.98George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.98Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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12.16University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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14.49Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Maeve White | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Amina Brown | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.