Race 1A

reese-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Buck Rathbun 34.4% 26.9% 18.4% 10.3% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Marykate Hanus 14.1% 16.0% 16.6% 17.0% 15.0% 11.6% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Isaac Thompson 6.7% 8.4% 11.6% 12.4% 13.6% 17.8% 17.8% 9.1% 2.6%
Jack Whitman 8.2% 9.0% 11.1% 13.4% 15.6% 16.6% 17.1% 7.8% 1.4%
William Delong 17.5% 18.6% 18.5% 15.2% 14.5% 9.8% 4.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Myles Hazen 9.7% 10.2% 10.6% 14.9% 14.4% 16.6% 15.2% 7.1% 1.2%
Marguerite Deseau 7.0% 7.8% 9.7% 11.2% 13.5% 16.2% 21.5% 10.8% 2.5%
Sara Donahue 1.8% 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 4.2% 5.7% 9.6% 35.8% 35.2%
Annette Limoges 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 2.9% 3.3% 6.1% 25.9% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.