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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.38+5.52vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+5.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+5.15vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+5.56vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.47+5.18vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.65vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96+0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.54vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.58vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.13vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.24+0.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.50vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50+0.36vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.92-5.84vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-5.97vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.99-7.88vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.42Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.87Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.38University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Naval Academy2.330.0%1st Place
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14.36Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.16Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.03Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Paris Henken | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Amina Brown | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.9% |
| Hannah Hughes | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 36.7% |
| Maeve White | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.