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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+7.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+8.39vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+3.59vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+5.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.62vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+1.61vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-2.70vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-0.50vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-3.79vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.55-1.81vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-3.12vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-4.33vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.73-6.01vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-4.28vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-8.28vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.59Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.39Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.51George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.42College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.5Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.19Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.88Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.99University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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8.72Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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14.83Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Martina Sly | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Sinead McManus | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.