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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.34vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+5.31vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+3.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+5.18vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+4.71vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.08vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.05vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35+2.58vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-1.46vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-1.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.69vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.24vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-3.52vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-3.17vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.73-6.04vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-4.24vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-7.48vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.18Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.71Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.48University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.96University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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14.8Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Martina Sly | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Sinead McManus | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.