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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.37vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+8.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+7.39vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+1.43vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+3.71vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+3.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+1.27vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.99vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+1.42vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+0.71vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.67-2.38vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-4.12vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-4.22vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.06-7.43vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.87vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-1.96vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.84-9.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.05Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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6.43College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.71University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.59George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.42Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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9.62Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.88University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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15.04Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Martina Sly | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 11.0% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% |
| Sinead McManus | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 44.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.