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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+8.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+8.04vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+4.23vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.10vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.13vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12+3.44vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-0.43vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35+0.86vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.86vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.12vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-3.82vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.06-6.64vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-8.68vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-4.75vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.58-7.24vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.15-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.22University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.04Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.1Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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11.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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8.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.32College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.25Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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14.82Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Martina Sly | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sinead McManus | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.