← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.20+6.30vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.37+4.57vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.49+7.36vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.23+6.94vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.65+4.31vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.67+3.34vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida2.73+2.02vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.55+1.68vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College1.15+5.92vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.58-0.03vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.48vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.20-4.53vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-1.54vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.84-5.71vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.53vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.93vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.06-9.18vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University2.35-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.3Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.57College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.36Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.94Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.31Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.34Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
9.02University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.68Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
-
14.92Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
-
9.97University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
6.52University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.47Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.29Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
11.47U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.82Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.47George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Martina Sly | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 43.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sinead McManus | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.