← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University2.35+9.83vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.20+5.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.58+7.00vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.40vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.37+1.41vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.55+3.80vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College2.49+3.02vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.06-0.40vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.54vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.73-0.71vs Predicted
-
11Eckerd College1.15+3.95vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.23-0.53vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-1.59vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.84-5.70vs Predicted
-
15Yale University2.67-5.78vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-5.91vs Predicted
-
17Boston College3.20-9.80vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University2.65-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.83George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
7.27Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.0University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
6.4University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
6.41College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.8Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.02Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.6Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.54U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
-
9.29University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
14.95Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.47Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
11.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.3Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.22Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
-
10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
-
7.2Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.2Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Martina Sly | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 44.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| Sinead McManus | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.