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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+7.81vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.49+8.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+4.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+5.18vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.55+4.69vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+1.61vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65+0.30vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35+0.90vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-0.85vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.73-2.57vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-6.03vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-3.16vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.06-7.45vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-0.99vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.12-5.25vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.14-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.33Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.18Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.44College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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9.3Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.9George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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9.43University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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6.97Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.84Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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15.01Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.120.0%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte List | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Martina Sly | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 44.6% |
| Sinead McManus | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.