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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.41vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+1.42vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48+3.13vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.66+2.52vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28-0.86vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.31-0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-2.01vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.71-1.42vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.68-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.20-2.07vs Predicted
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12Hillsdale College-2.00-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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3.42Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.37Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.52Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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5.14Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.56University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.58Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.53Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.42Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Miller | 21.5% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 21.2% | 21.7% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 14.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Lowry | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 7.4% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Soren Hughes | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Drew Blackburn | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Anshul Davda | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 5.6% |
| Joseph Kurta | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 6.3% |
| Danielle Green | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.