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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+2.44vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.64+0.43vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy-0.82+1.97vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.89+1.21vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.66-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.22-2.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University-0.74-2.20vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0217.6%1st Place
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2.43Boston University0.6434.4%1st Place
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4.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.827.3%1st Place
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5.21McGill University-0.897.0%1st Place
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4.66Brandeis University-0.669.0%1st Place
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3.82University of New Hampshire-0.2214.1%1st Place
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4.8Northeastern University-0.748.2%1st Place
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7.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.511.7%1st Place
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8.1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Delong | 17.6% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Buck Rathbun | 34.4% | 24.6% | 19.7% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 19.7% | 11.2% | 2.6% |
| Myles Hazen | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 7.0% | 1.1% |
| Marykate Hanus | 14.1% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack Whitman | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 34.9% | 35.6% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 25.9% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.