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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.59+3.50vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.66+5.53vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.09+0.29vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.28+1.18vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University1.06-1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.48+1.08vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.68+0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-1.99vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.71-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.31-3.36vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-2.00-0.54vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-1.20-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.53Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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5.18Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.43Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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7.08University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.48Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.52Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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10.46Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Rantanen | 13.3% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 6.2% |
| Zachary Miller | 24.0% | 19.3% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Elliot Lee | 21.0% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Joseph Kurta | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 7.0% |
| Drew Blackburn | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Anshul Davda | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 6.1% |
| Soren Hughes | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 55.0% |
| Danielle Green | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.