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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.43vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+1.44vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.48+4.10vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.59+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-1.20+3.84vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.31+0.67vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.68+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-2.01vs Predicted
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9Hope College0.28-3.98vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.71-2.39vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-2.00-0.55vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-0.66-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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3.44Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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7.1University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.45Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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7.46Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.02Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.61Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.45Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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7.54Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Miller | 21.4% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elliot Lee | 21.1% | 21.4% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Danielle Green | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 21.7% | 18.1% |
| Soren Hughes | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Kurta | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 7.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Anshul Davda | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 17.1% | 52.3% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.