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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.42vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+1.39vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48+3.09vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.59-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.09+0.12vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.66+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.20+0.74vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-0.31-2.52vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.71-2.40vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.68-3.24vs Predicted
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12Hillsdale College-2.00-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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3.39Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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5.14Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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4.44Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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6.12University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.4Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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7.6Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.76Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.42Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Miller | 21.9% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 22.2% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| John Lowry | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 13.4% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Drew Blackburn | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 6.0% |
| Danielle Green | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 17.7% |
| Soren Hughes | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Anshul Davda | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 6.8% |
| Joseph Kurta | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 7.9% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 17.3% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.