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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.44vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+1.44vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.71+4.69vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.31+2.74vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.48+2.04vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.66+1.55vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.68+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-2.00vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University0.59-4.78vs Predicted
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10Hope College0.28-4.88vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.20-2.11vs Predicted
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12Hillsdale College-2.00-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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3.44Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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7.69Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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7.04University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.55Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.46Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.22Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.12Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.41Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Miller | 21.1% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 21.4% | 20.7% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anshul Davda | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 6.2% |
| Soren Hughes | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| John Lowry | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 6.1% |
| Joseph Kurta | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 6.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 15.0% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Green | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 18.7% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 52.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.