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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+2.48vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.31+4.66vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59+1.39vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-0.48+3.10vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.09-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.20+2.83vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.66+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-1.99vs Predicted
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9Hope College0.28-4.07vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.71-2.41vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.68-3.22vs Predicted
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12Hillsdale College-2.00-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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6.66University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.39Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Toledo-0.480.0%1st Place
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3.4University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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8.83University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.41Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.01University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.93Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.59Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.78Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.41Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 21.4% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Soren Hughes | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Miller | 23.2% | 20.6% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Green | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 17.3% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 5.6% |
| Drew Blackburn | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anshul Davda | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 6.7% |
| Joseph Kurta | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 7.4% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.