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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+2.44vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.59+2.41vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.48+4.10vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.31+2.63vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.28+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.09+0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.09-3.69vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-1.20+0.75vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.68-1.52vs Predicted
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10Michigan Technological University-0.66-2.55vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-0.71-3.22vs Predicted
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12Hillsdale College-2.00-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.41Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.16Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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8.75University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.48Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.45Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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7.78Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.4Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 22.0% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 13.1% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Soren Hughes | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Libby Reeg | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Drew Blackburn | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Miller | 24.9% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Green | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 19.8% | 18.7% |
| Joseph Kurta | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% |
| Anshul Davda | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 17.5% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.