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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.59+3.40vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.48+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.31+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.09-1.67vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.66+1.37vs Predicted
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7Hope College0.28-2.02vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.09-2.16vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.71-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-1.20-1.37vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-2.00-0.63vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.32-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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3.31Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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6.95University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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3.33University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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7.37Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.98Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.37Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.37Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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8.97Grand Valley State University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Rantanen | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Elliot Lee | 21.2% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| Soren Hughes | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Miller | 24.2% | 20.0% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 4.5% |
| Libby Reeg | 11.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Drew Blackburn | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Anshul Davda | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Danielle Green | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 15.8% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 16.7% | 50.0% |
| Kate Cavataio | 1.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 23.4% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.