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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.31vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University1.06+1.35vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28+2.04vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.71+3.57vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.66+2.39vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.59-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.31-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.48-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-0.09-3.18vs Predicted
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10Hillsdale College-2.00+0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.20-2.21vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.32-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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3.35Grand Valley State University1.060.2%1st Place
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5.04Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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7.57Purdue University-0.710.0%1st Place
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7.39Michigan Technological University-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.33Michigan State University0.590.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Wisconsin-0.310.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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10.17Hillsdale College-2.000.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Minnesota-1.200.0%1st Place
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9.02Grand Valley State University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Miller | 22.9% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 21.3% | 22.7% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Anshul Davda | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Soren Hughes | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| John Lowry | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Drew Blackburn | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Pearce Pomerleau | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 45.5% |
| Danielle Green | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 16.2% |
| Kate Cavataio | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.